Verizon Communications (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 45.34

0Q1S Stock   43.85  0.85  1.98%   
Verizon Communications' future price is the expected price of Verizon Communications instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Verizon Communications performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Verizon Communications Backtesting, Verizon Communications Valuation, Verizon Communications Correlation, Verizon Communications Hype Analysis, Verizon Communications Volatility, Verizon Communications History as well as Verizon Communications Performance.
For more information on how to buy Verizon Stock please use our How to Invest in Verizon Communications guide.
  
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Verizon Communications Target Price Odds to finish over 45.34

The tendency of Verizon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  45.34  or more in 90 days
 43.85 90 days 45.34 
nearly 4.54
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Verizon Communications to move over  45.34  or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.54 (This Verizon Communications probability density function shows the probability of Verizon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Verizon Communications price to stay between its current price of  43.85  and  45.34  at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.93 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Verizon Communications has a beta of 0.15. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Verizon Communications average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Verizon Communications will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Verizon Communications has an alpha of 0.0775, implying that it can generate a 0.0775 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Verizon Communications Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Verizon Communications

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Verizon Communications. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42.3943.8545.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
41.3642.8244.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
43.1544.6146.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
39.6141.7143.82
Details

Verizon Communications Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Verizon Communications is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Verizon Communications' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Verizon Communications, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Verizon Communications within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.15
σ
Overall volatility
1.49
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Verizon Communications Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Verizon Communications for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Verizon Communications can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: Foundry Partners LLC Raises Stock Position in Verizon Communications Inc. - MarketBeat

Verizon Communications Technical Analysis

Verizon Communications' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Verizon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Verizon Communications. In general, you should focus on analyzing Verizon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Verizon Communications Predictive Forecast Models

Verizon Communications' time-series forecasting models is one of many Verizon Communications' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Verizon Communications' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Verizon Communications

Checking the ongoing alerts about Verizon Communications for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Verizon Communications help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: Foundry Partners LLC Raises Stock Position in Verizon Communications Inc. - MarketBeat

Additional Tools for Verizon Stock Analysis

When running Verizon Communications' price analysis, check to measure Verizon Communications' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Verizon Communications is operating at the current time. Most of Verizon Communications' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Verizon Communications' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Verizon Communications' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Verizon Communications to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.