CNH Industrial (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.88
| 0QGU Stock | 10.55 1.24 10.52% |
CNH |
CNH Industrial Target Price Odds to finish below 11.88
The tendency of CNH Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 11.88 after 90 days |
| 10.55 | 90 days | 11.88 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CNH Industrial to stay under 11.88 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This CNH Industrial NV probability density function shows the probability of CNH Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CNH Industrial NV price to stay between its current price of 10.55 and 11.88 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.73 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.26 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, CNH Industrial will likely underperform. Additionally CNH Industrial NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. CNH Industrial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CNH Industrial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CNH Industrial NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CNH Industrial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CNH Industrial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CNH Industrial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CNH Industrial NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CNH Industrial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
CNH Industrial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CNH Industrial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CNH Industrial NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CNH Industrial NV had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: CNH Industrial Passes Through 4 percent Yield Mark - Nasdaq |
CNH Industrial Technical Analysis
CNH Industrial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CNH Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CNH Industrial NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing CNH Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CNH Industrial Predictive Forecast Models
CNH Industrial's time-series forecasting models is one of many CNH Industrial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CNH Industrial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CNH Industrial NV
Checking the ongoing alerts about CNH Industrial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CNH Industrial NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CNH Industrial NV had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: CNH Industrial Passes Through 4 percent Yield Mark - Nasdaq |
Additional Tools for CNH Stock Analysis
When running CNH Industrial's price analysis, check to measure CNH Industrial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CNH Industrial is operating at the current time. Most of CNH Industrial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CNH Industrial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CNH Industrial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CNH Industrial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.