METALL ZUG (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1125.0
| 0QLX Stock | 1,145 20.00 1.78% |
METALL |
METALL ZUG Target Price Odds to finish below 1125.0
The tendency of METALL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1,125 or more in 90 days |
| 1,145 | 90 days | 1,125 | roughly 2.52 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of METALL ZUG to drop to 1,125 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.52 (This METALL ZUG AG probability density function shows the probability of METALL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of METALL ZUG AG price to stay between 1,125 and its current price of 1145.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.87 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon METALL ZUG AG has a beta of -0.0827. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding METALL ZUG are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, METALL ZUG AG is likely to outperform the market. Additionally METALL ZUG AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. METALL ZUG Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for METALL ZUG
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as METALL ZUG AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.METALL ZUG Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. METALL ZUG is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the METALL ZUG's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold METALL ZUG AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of METALL ZUG within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 31.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
METALL ZUG Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of METALL ZUG for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for METALL ZUG AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| METALL ZUG AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 27.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: At CHF1,140, Is Metall Zug AG Worth Looking At Closely - Simply Wall St |
METALL ZUG Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of METALL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential METALL ZUG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. METALL ZUG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 448.9 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 29.8 M |
METALL ZUG Technical Analysis
METALL ZUG's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. METALL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of METALL ZUG AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing METALL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
METALL ZUG Predictive Forecast Models
METALL ZUG's time-series forecasting models is one of many METALL ZUG's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary METALL ZUG's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about METALL ZUG AG
Checking the ongoing alerts about METALL ZUG for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for METALL ZUG AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| METALL ZUG AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 27.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: At CHF1,140, Is Metall Zug AG Worth Looking At Closely - Simply Wall St |
Additional Tools for METALL Stock Analysis
When running METALL ZUG's price analysis, check to measure METALL ZUG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy METALL ZUG is operating at the current time. Most of METALL ZUG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of METALL ZUG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move METALL ZUG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of METALL ZUG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.