Brunel International (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.08
| 0QUM Stock | 8.51 0.06 0.71% |
Brunel |
Brunel International Target Price Odds to finish over 10.08
The tendency of Brunel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 10.08 or more in 90 days |
| 8.51 | 90 days | 10.08 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Brunel International to move over 10.08 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Brunel International NV probability density function shows the probability of Brunel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Brunel International price to stay between its current price of 8.51 and 10.08 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.98 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Brunel International has a beta of 0.29. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Brunel International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Brunel International NV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Brunel International NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Brunel International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Brunel International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brunel International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Brunel International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Brunel International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Brunel International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Brunel International NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Brunel International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
Brunel International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Brunel International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Brunel International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Brunel International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Brunel International Technical Analysis
Brunel International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Brunel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Brunel International NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Brunel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Brunel International Predictive Forecast Models
Brunel International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Brunel International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Brunel International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Brunel International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Brunel International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Brunel International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Brunel International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Brunel Stock Analysis
When running Brunel International's price analysis, check to measure Brunel International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Brunel International is operating at the current time. Most of Brunel International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Brunel International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Brunel International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Brunel International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.