SoftBank Group (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9115.21

0R15 Stock   8,586  66.00  0.77%   
SoftBank Group's future price is the expected price of SoftBank Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SoftBank Group Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SoftBank Group Backtesting, SoftBank Group Valuation, SoftBank Group Correlation, SoftBank Group Hype Analysis, SoftBank Group Volatility, SoftBank Group History as well as SoftBank Group Performance.
  
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SoftBank Group Target Price Odds to finish over 9115.21

The tendency of SoftBank Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  9,115  or more in 90 days
 8,586 90 days 9,115 
about 36.28
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SoftBank Group to move over  9,115  or more in 90 days from now is about 36.28 (This SoftBank Group Corp probability density function shows the probability of SoftBank Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SoftBank Group Corp price to stay between its current price of  8,586  and  9,115  at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.31 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SoftBank Group has a beta of 0.0477. This suggests as returns on the market go up, SoftBank Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SoftBank Group Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SoftBank Group Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   SoftBank Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SoftBank Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SoftBank Group Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8,5778,5809,445
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7,2697,2729,445
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7,7207,7237,726
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8,0988,8529,607
Details

SoftBank Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SoftBank Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SoftBank Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SoftBank Group Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SoftBank Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.39
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
891.33
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

SoftBank Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SoftBank Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SoftBank Group Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SoftBank Group Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 6.76 T. Net Loss for the year was (250.5 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
About 34.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: SoftBank Group Stock Crosses Below 200-Day Moving Average - Whats Next - MarketBeat

SoftBank Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SoftBank Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SoftBank Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SoftBank Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.5 B
Cash And Short Term Investments6.4 T

SoftBank Group Technical Analysis

SoftBank Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SoftBank Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SoftBank Group Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing SoftBank Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SoftBank Group Predictive Forecast Models

SoftBank Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many SoftBank Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SoftBank Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SoftBank Group Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about SoftBank Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SoftBank Group Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SoftBank Group Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 6.76 T. Net Loss for the year was (250.5 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
About 34.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: SoftBank Group Stock Crosses Below 200-Day Moving Average - Whats Next - MarketBeat

Additional Tools for SoftBank Stock Analysis

When running SoftBank Group's price analysis, check to measure SoftBank Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SoftBank Group is operating at the current time. Most of SoftBank Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SoftBank Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SoftBank Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SoftBank Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.