Home Depot (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 178.73

0R1G Stock  USD 178.57  82.12  31.50%   
Home Depot's future price is the expected price of Home Depot instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Home Depot performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Home Depot Backtesting, Home Depot Valuation, Home Depot Correlation, Home Depot Hype Analysis, Home Depot Volatility, Home Depot History as well as Home Depot Performance.
For more information on how to buy Home Stock please use our How to buy in Home Stock guide.
  
Please specify Home Depot's target price for which you would like Home Depot odds to be computed.

Home Depot Target Price Odds to finish over 178.73

The tendency of Home Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 178.73  or more in 90 days
 178.57 90 days 178.73 
about 28.93
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Home Depot to move over $ 178.73  or more in 90 days from now is about 28.93 (This Home Depot probability density function shows the probability of Home Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Home Depot price to stay between its current price of $ 178.57  and $ 178.73  at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.84 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Home Depot has a beta of -0.0172. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Home Depot are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Home Depot is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Home Depot has an alpha of 0.0114, implying that it can generate a 0.0114 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Home Depot Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Home Depot

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Home Depot. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
173.89174.05196.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
154.21154.37196.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
178.41178.57178.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
178.57178.57178.57
Details

Home Depot Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Home Depot is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Home Depot's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Home Depot, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Home Depot within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.54
Ir
Information ratio -0.71

Home Depot Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Home Depot for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Home Depot can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: Here is What to Know Beyond Why The Home Depot, Inc. is a Trending Stock - Yahoo Finance

Home Depot Technical Analysis

Home Depot's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Home Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Home Depot. In general, you should focus on analyzing Home Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Home Depot Predictive Forecast Models

Home Depot's time-series forecasting models is one of many Home Depot's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Home Depot's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Home Depot

Checking the ongoing alerts about Home Depot for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Home Depot help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: Here is What to Know Beyond Why The Home Depot, Inc. is a Trending Stock - Yahoo Finance
When determining whether Home Depot is a strong investment it is important to analyze Home Depot's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Home Depot's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Home Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Home Depot Backtesting, Home Depot Valuation, Home Depot Correlation, Home Depot Hype Analysis, Home Depot Volatility, Home Depot History as well as Home Depot Performance.
For more information on how to buy Home Stock please use our How to buy in Home Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Home Depot's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Home Depot is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Home Depot's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.