Berkshire Hathaway (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 439.75

0R37 Stock   465.00  1.25  0.27%   
Berkshire Hathaway's future price is the expected price of Berkshire Hathaway instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Berkshire Hathaway performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Berkshire Hathaway Backtesting, Berkshire Hathaway Valuation, Berkshire Hathaway Correlation, Berkshire Hathaway Hype Analysis, Berkshire Hathaway Volatility, Berkshire Hathaway History as well as Berkshire Hathaway Performance.
  
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Berkshire Hathaway Target Price Odds to finish over 439.75

The tendency of Berkshire Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  439.75  in 90 days
 465.00 90 days 439.75 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Berkshire Hathaway to stay above  439.75  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Berkshire Hathaway probability density function shows the probability of Berkshire Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Berkshire Hathaway price to stay between  439.75  and its current price of 465.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.33 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Berkshire Hathaway has a beta of 0.15. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Berkshire Hathaway average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Berkshire Hathaway will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Berkshire Hathaway has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Berkshire Hathaway Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Berkshire Hathaway

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Berkshire Hathaway. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
464.17465.06465.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
463.88464.76465.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
448.49449.38450.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
446.85463.68480.50
Details

Berkshire Hathaway Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Berkshire Hathaway is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Berkshire Hathaway's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Berkshire Hathaway, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Berkshire Hathaway within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.15
σ
Overall volatility
8.59
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Berkshire Hathaway Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Berkshire Hathaway for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Berkshire Hathaway can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Berkshire Hathaway is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Berkshire Hathaway Technical Analysis

Berkshire Hathaway's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Berkshire Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Berkshire Hathaway. In general, you should focus on analyzing Berkshire Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Berkshire Hathaway Predictive Forecast Models

Berkshire Hathaway's time-series forecasting models is one of many Berkshire Hathaway's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Berkshire Hathaway's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Berkshire Hathaway

Checking the ongoing alerts about Berkshire Hathaway for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Berkshire Hathaway help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Berkshire Hathaway is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Additional Tools for Berkshire Stock Analysis

When running Berkshire Hathaway's price analysis, check to measure Berkshire Hathaway's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Berkshire Hathaway is operating at the current time. Most of Berkshire Hathaway's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Berkshire Hathaway's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Berkshire Hathaway's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Berkshire Hathaway to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.