Flow Traders (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 18.71

0R96 Stock   22.44  1.08  5.06%   
Flow Traders' future price is the expected price of Flow Traders instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Flow Traders NV performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Flow Traders Backtesting, Flow Traders Valuation, Flow Traders Correlation, Flow Traders Hype Analysis, Flow Traders Volatility, Flow Traders History as well as Flow Traders Performance.
  
Please specify Flow Traders' target price for which you would like Flow Traders odds to be computed.

Flow Traders Target Price Odds to finish over 18.71

The tendency of Flow Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  18.71  in 90 days
 22.44 90 days 18.71 
more than 94.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Flow Traders to stay above  18.71  in 90 days from now is more than 94.0 (This Flow Traders NV probability density function shows the probability of Flow Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Flow Traders NV price to stay between  18.71  and its current price of 22.44 at the end of the 90-day period is about 85.71 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Flow Traders NV has a beta of -0.27. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Flow Traders are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Flow Traders NV is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Flow Traders NV has an alpha of 0.3528, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Flow Traders Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Flow Traders

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Flow Traders NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.0022.4623.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.8621.3222.78
Details

Flow Traders Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Flow Traders is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Flow Traders' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Flow Traders NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Flow Traders within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.27
σ
Overall volatility
1.27
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Flow Traders Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Flow Traders for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Flow Traders NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Flow Traders NV is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 23.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Flow Traders Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Flow Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Flow Traders' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Flow Traders' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0068
Shares Float33.1 M

Flow Traders Technical Analysis

Flow Traders' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Flow Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Flow Traders NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Flow Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Flow Traders Predictive Forecast Models

Flow Traders' time-series forecasting models is one of many Flow Traders' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Flow Traders' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Flow Traders NV

Checking the ongoing alerts about Flow Traders for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Flow Traders NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Flow Traders NV is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 23.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Flow Stock Analysis

When running Flow Traders' price analysis, check to measure Flow Traders' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Flow Traders is operating at the current time. Most of Flow Traders' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Flow Traders' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Flow Traders' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Flow Traders to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.