Uniper SE (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 52.08

0RJ4 Stock   43.11  0.08  0.19%   
Uniper SE's future price is the expected price of Uniper SE instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Uniper SE performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Uniper SE Backtesting, Uniper SE Valuation, Uniper SE Correlation, Uniper SE Hype Analysis, Uniper SE Volatility, Uniper SE History as well as Uniper SE Performance.
  
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Uniper SE Target Price Odds to finish below 52.08

The tendency of Uniper Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  52.08  after 90 days
 43.11 90 days 52.08 
roughly 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Uniper SE to stay under  52.08  after 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Uniper SE probability density function shows the probability of Uniper Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Uniper SE price to stay between its current price of  43.11  and  52.08  at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.78 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Uniper SE has a beta of -0.49. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Uniper SE are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Uniper SE is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Uniper SE has an alpha of 0.1059, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Uniper SE Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Uniper SE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Uniper SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40.2043.0345.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.3038.1347.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
39.8842.7245.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
41.6543.5145.37
Details

Uniper SE Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Uniper SE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Uniper SE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Uniper SE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Uniper SE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.49
σ
Overall volatility
3.72
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Uniper SE Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Uniper SE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Uniper SE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Uniper SE has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 106.44 B. Net Loss for the year was (18.98 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (2.91 B).
Uniper SE generates negative cash flow from operations
About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Earnings call Uniper reports robust nine-month results, confirms full-year outlook - Investing.com

Uniper SE Technical Analysis

Uniper SE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Uniper Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Uniper SE. In general, you should focus on analyzing Uniper Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Uniper SE Predictive Forecast Models

Uniper SE's time-series forecasting models is one of many Uniper SE's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Uniper SE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Uniper SE

Checking the ongoing alerts about Uniper SE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Uniper SE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Uniper SE has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 106.44 B. Net Loss for the year was (18.98 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (2.91 B).
Uniper SE generates negative cash flow from operations
About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Earnings call Uniper reports robust nine-month results, confirms full-year outlook - Investing.com

Additional Tools for Uniper Stock Analysis

When running Uniper SE's price analysis, check to measure Uniper SE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Uniper SE is operating at the current time. Most of Uniper SE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Uniper SE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Uniper SE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Uniper SE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.