Jost Werke (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 42.85

0RTR Stock   42.05  0.27  0.65%   
Jost Werke's future price is the expected price of Jost Werke instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jost Werke AG performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jost Werke Backtesting, Jost Werke Valuation, Jost Werke Correlation, Jost Werke Hype Analysis, Jost Werke Volatility, Jost Werke History as well as Jost Werke Performance.
  
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Jost Werke Target Price Odds to finish over 42.85

The tendency of Jost Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  42.85  or more in 90 days
 42.05 90 days 42.85 
about 45.81
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jost Werke to move over  42.85  or more in 90 days from now is about 45.81 (This Jost Werke AG probability density function shows the probability of Jost Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jost Werke AG price to stay between its current price of  42.05  and  42.85  at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.5 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jost Werke has a beta of 0.12. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Jost Werke average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Jost Werke AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Jost Werke AG has an alpha of 0.0126, implying that it can generate a 0.0126 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Jost Werke Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jost Werke

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jost Werke AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40.1441.8743.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.8835.6145.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
38.7240.4542.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
41.2142.1042.99
Details

Jost Werke Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jost Werke is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jost Werke's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jost Werke AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jost Werke within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
1.52
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Jost Werke Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jost Werke for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jost Werke AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Jost Werke Technical Analysis

Jost Werke's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jost Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jost Werke AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jost Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jost Werke Predictive Forecast Models

Jost Werke's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jost Werke's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jost Werke's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jost Werke AG

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jost Werke for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jost Werke AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Additional Tools for Jost Stock Analysis

When running Jost Werke's price analysis, check to measure Jost Werke's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jost Werke is operating at the current time. Most of Jost Werke's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jost Werke's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jost Werke's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jost Werke to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.