MOL Hungarian (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3004.82
| 0RUK Stock | 2,922 270.00 10.18% |
MOL |
MOL Hungarian Target Price Odds to finish over 3004.82
The tendency of MOL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 3,005 or more in 90 days |
| 2,922 | 90 days | 3,005 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MOL Hungarian to move over 3,005 or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This MOL Hungarian Oil probability density function shows the probability of MOL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MOL Hungarian Oil price to stay between its current price of 2,922 and 3,005 at the end of the 90-day period is about 39.69 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MOL Hungarian Oil has a beta of -0.019. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding MOL Hungarian are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MOL Hungarian Oil is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MOL Hungarian Oil has an alpha of 0.0254, implying that it can generate a 0.0254 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). MOL Hungarian Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MOL Hungarian
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MOL Hungarian Oil. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MOL Hungarian Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MOL Hungarian is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MOL Hungarian's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MOL Hungarian Oil, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MOL Hungarian within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 50.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
MOL Hungarian Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MOL Hungarian for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MOL Hungarian Oil can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Czechs not looking to extend waiver for Russian-based oil products - Marketscreener.com |
MOL Hungarian Technical Analysis
MOL Hungarian's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MOL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MOL Hungarian Oil. In general, you should focus on analyzing MOL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MOL Hungarian Predictive Forecast Models
MOL Hungarian's time-series forecasting models is one of many MOL Hungarian's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MOL Hungarian's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MOL Hungarian Oil
Checking the ongoing alerts about MOL Hungarian for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MOL Hungarian Oil help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Czechs not looking to extend waiver for Russian-based oil products - Marketscreener.com |
Additional Tools for MOL Stock Analysis
When running MOL Hungarian's price analysis, check to measure MOL Hungarian's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MOL Hungarian is operating at the current time. Most of MOL Hungarian's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MOL Hungarian's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MOL Hungarian's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MOL Hungarian to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.