UNITED URBAN (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 897.63
| 0S2 Stock | EUR 845.00 5.00 0.59% |
UNITED |
UNITED URBAN Target Price Odds to finish over 897.63
The tendency of UNITED Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 897.63 or more in 90 days |
| 845.00 | 90 days | 897.63 | about 1.41 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of UNITED URBAN to move over € 897.63 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.41 (This UNITED URBAN INV probability density function shows the probability of UNITED Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of UNITED URBAN INV price to stay between its current price of € 845.00 and € 897.63 at the end of the 90-day period is about 43.17 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon UNITED URBAN has a beta of 0.28. This suggests as returns on the market go up, UNITED URBAN average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding UNITED URBAN INV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally UNITED URBAN INV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. UNITED URBAN Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for UNITED URBAN
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as UNITED URBAN INV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.UNITED URBAN Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. UNITED URBAN is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the UNITED URBAN's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold UNITED URBAN INV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of UNITED URBAN within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 25.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
UNITED URBAN Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of UNITED URBAN for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for UNITED URBAN INV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| UNITED URBAN INV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
UNITED URBAN Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of UNITED Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential UNITED URBAN's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. UNITED URBAN's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 6.1505 |
UNITED URBAN Technical Analysis
UNITED URBAN's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. UNITED Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of UNITED URBAN INV. In general, you should focus on analyzing UNITED Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
UNITED URBAN Predictive Forecast Models
UNITED URBAN's time-series forecasting models is one of many UNITED URBAN's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary UNITED URBAN's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about UNITED URBAN INV
Checking the ongoing alerts about UNITED URBAN for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for UNITED URBAN INV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| UNITED URBAN INV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in UNITED Stock
UNITED URBAN financial ratios help investors to determine whether UNITED Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in UNITED with respect to the benefits of owning UNITED URBAN security.