United Insurance (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.65
| 0UI Stock | EUR 12.20 0.10 0.81% |
United |
United Insurance Target Price Odds to finish below 9.65
The tendency of United Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 9.65 or more in 90 days |
| 12.20 | 90 days | 9.65 | about 25.55 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of United Insurance to drop to € 9.65 or more in 90 days from now is about 25.55 (This United Insurance Holdings probability density function shows the probability of United Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of United Insurance Holdings price to stay between € 9.65 and its current price of €12.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.73 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon United Insurance Holdings has a beta of -0.28. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding United Insurance are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, United Insurance Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally United Insurance Holdings has an alpha of 0.4163, implying that it can generate a 0.42 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). United Insurance Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for United Insurance
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United Insurance Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.United Insurance Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. United Insurance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the United Insurance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold United Insurance Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of United Insurance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
United Insurance Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of United Insurance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for United Insurance Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| United Insurance had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| United Insurance has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| United Insurance Holdings has accumulated 156.56 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 28.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. United Insurance Holdings has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist United Insurance until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, United Insurance's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like United Insurance Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for United to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about United Insurance's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 634.53 M. Net Loss for the year was (57.92 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 38.82 M. | |
| United Insurance Holdings has accumulated about 131.79 M in cash with (295.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.07. | |
| Roughly 55.0% of United Insurance shares are owned by insiders or employees |
United Insurance Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of United Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential United Insurance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. United Insurance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.4 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 10.3 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.22 |
United Insurance Technical Analysis
United Insurance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. United Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of United Insurance Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing United Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
United Insurance Predictive Forecast Models
United Insurance's time-series forecasting models is one of many United Insurance's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary United Insurance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about United Insurance Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about United Insurance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for United Insurance Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| United Insurance had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| United Insurance has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| United Insurance Holdings has accumulated 156.56 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 28.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. United Insurance Holdings has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist United Insurance until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, United Insurance's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like United Insurance Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for United to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about United Insurance's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 634.53 M. Net Loss for the year was (57.92 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 38.82 M. | |
| United Insurance Holdings has accumulated about 131.79 M in cash with (295.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.07. | |
| Roughly 55.0% of United Insurance shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in United Stock
United Insurance financial ratios help investors to determine whether United Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in United with respect to the benefits of owning United Insurance security.