Mutares SE (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.49
| 0UTK Stock | 22.85 0.60 2.56% |
Mutares |
Mutares SE Target Price Odds to finish below 13.49
The tendency of Mutares Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 13.49 or more in 90 days |
| 22.85 | 90 days | 13.49 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mutares SE to drop to 13.49 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This mutares SE Co probability density function shows the probability of Mutares Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of mutares SE price to stay between 13.49 and its current price of 22.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.47 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon mutares SE Co has a beta of -0.67. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mutares SE are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, mutares SE Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mutares SE Co has an alpha of 0.5769, implying that it can generate a 0.58 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Mutares SE Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mutares SE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as mutares SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mutares SE Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mutares SE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mutares SE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold mutares SE Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mutares SE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.58 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Mutares SE Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mutares SE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for mutares SE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| mutares SE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| mutares SE has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| mutares SE has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 5.21 B. Net Loss for the year was (6.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.3 B. | |
| Mutares SE generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 46.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Mutares SE Co. KGaA signed an agreement to acquire VR Road Logistics Business from VR-Yhtym Oyj. - Marketscreener.com |
Mutares SE Technical Analysis
Mutares SE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mutares Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of mutares SE Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mutares Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mutares SE Predictive Forecast Models
Mutares SE's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mutares SE's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mutares SE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about mutares SE
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mutares SE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for mutares SE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| mutares SE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| mutares SE has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| mutares SE has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 5.21 B. Net Loss for the year was (6.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.3 B. | |
| Mutares SE generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 46.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Mutares SE Co. KGaA signed an agreement to acquire VR Road Logistics Business from VR-Yhtym Oyj. - Marketscreener.com |
Additional Tools for Mutares Stock Analysis
When running Mutares SE's price analysis, check to measure Mutares SE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mutares SE is operating at the current time. Most of Mutares SE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mutares SE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mutares SE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mutares SE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.