ViacomCBS (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 21.26

0VV Stock  EUR 21.85  0.20  0.91%   
ViacomCBS's future price is the expected price of ViacomCBS instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ViacomCBS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ViacomCBS Backtesting, ViacomCBS Valuation, ViacomCBS Correlation, ViacomCBS Hype Analysis, ViacomCBS Volatility, ViacomCBS History as well as ViacomCBS Performance.
  
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ViacomCBS Target Price Odds to finish below 21.26

The tendency of ViacomCBS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 21.26  or more in 90 days
 21.85 90 days 21.26 
about 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ViacomCBS to drop to € 21.26  or more in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This ViacomCBS probability density function shows the probability of ViacomCBS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ViacomCBS price to stay between € 21.26  and its current price of €21.85 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.46 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon ViacomCBS has a beta of 0.63. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ViacomCBS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ViacomCBS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ViacomCBS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   ViacomCBS Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ViacomCBS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ViacomCBS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.2821.8523.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.6921.2622.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.7722.3323.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.8121.0622.31
Details

ViacomCBS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ViacomCBS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ViacomCBS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ViacomCBS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ViacomCBS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.63
σ
Overall volatility
0.67
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

ViacomCBS Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ViacomCBS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ViacomCBS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 77.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

ViacomCBS Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ViacomCBS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ViacomCBS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ViacomCBS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding650 M

ViacomCBS Technical Analysis

ViacomCBS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ViacomCBS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ViacomCBS. In general, you should focus on analyzing ViacomCBS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ViacomCBS Predictive Forecast Models

ViacomCBS's time-series forecasting models is one of many ViacomCBS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ViacomCBS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ViacomCBS

Checking the ongoing alerts about ViacomCBS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ViacomCBS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 77.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in ViacomCBS Stock

ViacomCBS financial ratios help investors to determine whether ViacomCBS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ViacomCBS with respect to the benefits of owning ViacomCBS security.