Xenia Hotels (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.77
| 0XHR Stock | EUR 13.80 0.20 1.43% |
Xenia |
Xenia Hotels Target Price Odds to finish below 11.77
The tendency of Xenia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 11.77 or more in 90 days |
| 13.80 | 90 days | 11.77 | nearly 4.17 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Xenia Hotels to drop to € 11.77 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.17 (This Xenia Hotels Resorts probability density function shows the probability of Xenia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Xenia Hotels Resorts price to stay between € 11.77 and its current price of €13.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.2 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Xenia Hotels has a beta of 0.14. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Xenia Hotels average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Xenia Hotels Resorts will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Xenia Hotels Resorts has an alpha of 0.2451, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Xenia Hotels Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Xenia Hotels
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xenia Hotels Resorts. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Xenia Hotels Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Xenia Hotels is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Xenia Hotels' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Xenia Hotels Resorts, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Xenia Hotels within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.73 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Xenia Hotels Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Xenia Hotels for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Xenia Hotels Resorts can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Xenia Hotels Resorts has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has €1.49 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| The company reported the revenue of 616.19 M. Net Loss for the year was (143.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 128.1 M. | |
| Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Xenia Hotels Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Xenia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Xenia Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xenia Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 114.3 M |
Xenia Hotels Technical Analysis
Xenia Hotels' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Xenia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Xenia Hotels Resorts. In general, you should focus on analyzing Xenia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Xenia Hotels Predictive Forecast Models
Xenia Hotels' time-series forecasting models is one of many Xenia Hotels' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Xenia Hotels' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Xenia Hotels Resorts
Checking the ongoing alerts about Xenia Hotels for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Xenia Hotels Resorts help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Xenia Hotels Resorts has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has €1.49 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| The company reported the revenue of 616.19 M. Net Loss for the year was (143.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 128.1 M. | |
| Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Xenia Stock
When determining whether Xenia Hotels Resorts is a strong investment it is important to analyze Xenia Hotels' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Xenia Hotels' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Xenia Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Xenia Hotels Backtesting, Xenia Hotels Valuation, Xenia Hotels Correlation, Xenia Hotels Hype Analysis, Xenia Hotels Volatility, Xenia Hotels History as well as Xenia Hotels Performance. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.