Mobileleader CoLtd (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 18500.0

100030 Stock  KRW 17,060  10.00  0.06%   
Mobileleader CoLtd's future price is the expected price of Mobileleader CoLtd instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mobileleader CoLtd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mobileleader CoLtd Backtesting, Mobileleader CoLtd Valuation, Mobileleader CoLtd Correlation, Mobileleader CoLtd Hype Analysis, Mobileleader CoLtd Volatility, Mobileleader CoLtd History as well as Mobileleader CoLtd Performance.
  
Please specify Mobileleader CoLtd's target price for which you would like Mobileleader CoLtd odds to be computed.

Mobileleader CoLtd Target Price Odds to finish over 18500.0

The tendency of Mobileleader Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over W 18,500  or more in 90 days
 17,060 90 days 18,500 
about 19.71
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mobileleader CoLtd to move over W 18,500  or more in 90 days from now is about 19.71 (This Mobileleader CoLtd probability density function shows the probability of Mobileleader Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mobileleader CoLtd price to stay between its current price of W 17,060  and W 18,500  at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.79 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mobileleader CoLtd has a beta of -0.55. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mobileleader CoLtd are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mobileleader CoLtd is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mobileleader CoLtd has an alpha of 0.012, implying that it can generate a 0.012 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Mobileleader CoLtd Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mobileleader CoLtd

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mobileleader CoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17,05717,06017,063
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14,35114,35418,766
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16,98816,99016,993
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17,00317,20017,397
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mobileleader CoLtd. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mobileleader CoLtd's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mobileleader CoLtd's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mobileleader CoLtd.

Mobileleader CoLtd Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mobileleader CoLtd is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mobileleader CoLtd's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mobileleader CoLtd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mobileleader CoLtd within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.55
σ
Overall volatility
993.11
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Mobileleader CoLtd Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mobileleader CoLtd for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mobileleader CoLtd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mobileleader CoLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 33.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Mobileleader CoLtd Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mobileleader Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mobileleader CoLtd's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mobileleader CoLtd's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments21.4 B

Mobileleader CoLtd Technical Analysis

Mobileleader CoLtd's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mobileleader Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mobileleader CoLtd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mobileleader Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mobileleader CoLtd Predictive Forecast Models

Mobileleader CoLtd's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mobileleader CoLtd's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mobileleader CoLtd's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mobileleader CoLtd

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mobileleader CoLtd for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mobileleader CoLtd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mobileleader CoLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 33.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Mobileleader Stock

Mobileleader CoLtd financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mobileleader Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mobileleader with respect to the benefits of owning Mobileleader CoLtd security.