Seoam Machinery (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4,023

100660 Stock  KRW 3,845  95.00  2.41%   
Seoam Machinery's future price is the expected price of Seoam Machinery instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Seoam Machinery Industry performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Seoam Machinery Backtesting, Seoam Machinery Valuation, Seoam Machinery Correlation, Seoam Machinery Hype Analysis, Seoam Machinery Volatility, Seoam Machinery History as well as Seoam Machinery Performance.
  
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Seoam Machinery Target Price Odds to finish over 4,023

The tendency of Seoam Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3,845 90 days 3,845 
about 71.61
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Seoam Machinery to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 71.61 (This Seoam Machinery Industry probability density function shows the probability of Seoam Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Seoam Machinery has a beta of 0.22. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Seoam Machinery average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Seoam Machinery Industry will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Seoam Machinery Industry has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Seoam Machinery Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Seoam Machinery

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seoam Machinery Industry. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,8423,8453,848
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,6493,6524,230
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3,7003,7033,707
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3,8203,9334,046
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Seoam Machinery. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Seoam Machinery's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Seoam Machinery's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Seoam Machinery Industry.

Seoam Machinery Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Seoam Machinery is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Seoam Machinery's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Seoam Machinery Industry, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Seoam Machinery within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.22
σ
Overall volatility
153.44
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Seoam Machinery Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Seoam Machinery for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Seoam Machinery Industry can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Seoam Machinery generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Seoam Machinery has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Seoam Machinery Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Seoam Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Seoam Machinery's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seoam Machinery's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12.6 M
Dividends Paid441 M
Cash And Short Term Investments30.3 B

Seoam Machinery Technical Analysis

Seoam Machinery's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Seoam Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Seoam Machinery Industry. In general, you should focus on analyzing Seoam Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Seoam Machinery Predictive Forecast Models

Seoam Machinery's time-series forecasting models is one of many Seoam Machinery's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Seoam Machinery's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Seoam Machinery Industry

Checking the ongoing alerts about Seoam Machinery for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Seoam Machinery Industry help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Seoam Machinery generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Seoam Machinery has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Seoam Stock

Seoam Machinery financial ratios help investors to determine whether Seoam Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Seoam with respect to the benefits of owning Seoam Machinery security.