SNTEnergy (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14850.0

100840 Stock   16,900  140.00  0.82%   
SNTEnergy's future price is the expected price of SNTEnergy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SNTEnergy Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SNTEnergy Backtesting, SNTEnergy Valuation, SNTEnergy Correlation, SNTEnergy Hype Analysis, SNTEnergy Volatility, SNTEnergy History as well as SNTEnergy Performance.
  
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SNTEnergy Target Price Odds to finish below 14850.0

The tendency of SNTEnergy Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  14,850  or more in 90 days
 16,900 90 days 14,850 
about 72.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SNTEnergy to drop to  14,850  or more in 90 days from now is about 72.14 (This SNTEnergy Co probability density function shows the probability of SNTEnergy Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SNTEnergy price to stay between  14,850  and its current price of 16900.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.71 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.09 . This suggests SNTEnergy Co market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, SNTEnergy is expected to follow. Additionally SNTEnergy Co has an alpha of 0.3354, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   SNTEnergy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SNTEnergy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SNTEnergy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16,89616,90016,904
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16,23416,23818,590
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16,81816,82216,826
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15,76117,58919,417
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SNTEnergy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SNTEnergy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SNTEnergy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SNTEnergy.

SNTEnergy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SNTEnergy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SNTEnergy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SNTEnergy Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SNTEnergy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.09
σ
Overall volatility
1,775
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

SNTEnergy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SNTEnergy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SNTEnergy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SNTEnergy had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

SNTEnergy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SNTEnergy Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SNTEnergy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SNTEnergy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.6 M

SNTEnergy Technical Analysis

SNTEnergy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SNTEnergy Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SNTEnergy Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing SNTEnergy Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SNTEnergy Predictive Forecast Models

SNTEnergy's time-series forecasting models is one of many SNTEnergy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SNTEnergy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SNTEnergy

Checking the ongoing alerts about SNTEnergy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SNTEnergy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SNTEnergy had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in SNTEnergy Stock

SNTEnergy financial ratios help investors to determine whether SNTEnergy Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SNTEnergy with respect to the benefits of owning SNTEnergy security.