Poongsan (Korea) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 54250.0

103140 Stock   52,800  1,400  2.72%   
Poongsan's future price is the expected price of Poongsan instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Poongsan performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Poongsan Backtesting, Poongsan Valuation, Poongsan Correlation, Poongsan Hype Analysis, Poongsan Volatility, Poongsan History as well as Poongsan Performance.
  
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Poongsan Target Price Odds to finish below 54250.0

The tendency of Poongsan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  54,250  after 90 days
 52,800 90 days 54,250 
about 6.59
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Poongsan to stay under  54,250  after 90 days from now is about 6.59 (This Poongsan probability density function shows the probability of Poongsan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Poongsan price to stay between its current price of  52,800  and  54,250  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.9 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Poongsan has a beta of -0.55. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Poongsan are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Poongsan is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Poongsan has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Poongsan Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Poongsan

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Poongsan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
52,79752,80052,803
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
48,21348,21658,080
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
53,72753,73153,734
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
50,29655,17060,044
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Poongsan. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Poongsan's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Poongsan's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Poongsan.

Poongsan Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Poongsan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Poongsan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Poongsan, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Poongsan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.55
σ
Overall volatility
5,200
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Poongsan Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Poongsan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Poongsan can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Poongsan generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Poongsan has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Poongsan generates negative cash flow from operations
About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Poongsan Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Poongsan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Poongsan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Poongsan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding28 M

Poongsan Technical Analysis

Poongsan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Poongsan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Poongsan. In general, you should focus on analyzing Poongsan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Poongsan Predictive Forecast Models

Poongsan's time-series forecasting models is one of many Poongsan's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Poongsan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Poongsan

Checking the ongoing alerts about Poongsan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Poongsan help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Poongsan generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Poongsan has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Poongsan generates negative cash flow from operations
About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Poongsan Stock

Poongsan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Poongsan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Poongsan with respect to the benefits of owning Poongsan security.