TK Chemical (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1561.65
| 104480 Stock | KRW 1,370 50.00 3.79% |
104480 |
TK Chemical Target Price Odds to finish over 1561.65
The tendency of 104480 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over W 1,562 or more in 90 days |
| 1,370 | 90 days | 1,562 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TK Chemical to move over W 1,562 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This TK Chemical probability density function shows the probability of 104480 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TK Chemical price to stay between its current price of W 1,370 and W 1,562 at the end of the 90-day period is about 62.7 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TK Chemical has a beta of -0.0063. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding TK Chemical are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, TK Chemical is likely to outperform the market. Additionally TK Chemical has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. TK Chemical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for TK Chemical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TK Chemical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TK Chemical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TK Chemical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TK Chemical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TK Chemical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TK Chemical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0063 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 64.85 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
TK Chemical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TK Chemical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TK Chemical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TK Chemical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| TK Chemical has accumulated 51.5 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.83, which is about average as compared to similar companies. TK Chemical has a current ratio of 0.68, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist TK Chemical until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, TK Chemical's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like TK Chemical sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for 104480 to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about TK Chemical's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 48.0% of TK Chemical shares are owned by insiders or employees |
TK Chemical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 104480 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TK Chemical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TK Chemical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 90.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 24.4 B |
TK Chemical Technical Analysis
TK Chemical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 104480 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TK Chemical. In general, you should focus on analyzing 104480 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
TK Chemical Predictive Forecast Models
TK Chemical's time-series forecasting models is one of many TK Chemical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TK Chemical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about TK Chemical
Checking the ongoing alerts about TK Chemical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TK Chemical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| TK Chemical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| TK Chemical has accumulated 51.5 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.83, which is about average as compared to similar companies. TK Chemical has a current ratio of 0.68, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist TK Chemical until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, TK Chemical's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like TK Chemical sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for 104480 to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about TK Chemical's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 48.0% of TK Chemical shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in 104480 Stock
TK Chemical financial ratios help investors to determine whether 104480 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 104480 with respect to the benefits of owning TK Chemical security.