Enter Air (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.11

10N Stock   11.66  3.24  21.74%   
Enter Air's future price is the expected price of Enter Air instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Enter Air SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Enter Air Backtesting, Enter Air Valuation, Enter Air Correlation, Enter Air Hype Analysis, Enter Air Volatility, Enter Air History as well as Enter Air Performance.
  
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Enter Air Target Price Odds to finish below 6.11

The tendency of Enter Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  6.11  or more in 90 days
 11.66 90 days 6.11 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Enter Air to drop to  6.11  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Enter Air SA probability density function shows the probability of Enter Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Enter Air SA price to stay between  6.11  and its current price of 11.66 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.12 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Enter Air has a beta of 0.18. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Enter Air average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Enter Air SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Enter Air SA has an alpha of 0.0343, implying that it can generate a 0.0343 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Enter Air Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Enter Air

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Enter Air SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Enter Air's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.8914.9020.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.8415.8521.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.0214.0320.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.7713.8216.87
Details

Enter Air Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Enter Air is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Enter Air's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Enter Air SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Enter Air within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.18
σ
Overall volatility
0.44
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Enter Air Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Enter Air for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Enter Air SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Enter Air SA is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Enter Air SA appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Enter Air SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 1.12 B. Net Loss for the year was (117.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.

Enter Air Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Enter Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Enter Air's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Enter Air's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding17.5 M
Short Long Term Debt115.5 M

Enter Air Technical Analysis

Enter Air's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Enter Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Enter Air SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Enter Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Enter Air Predictive Forecast Models

Enter Air's time-series forecasting models is one of many Enter Air's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Enter Air's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Enter Air SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Enter Air for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Enter Air SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Enter Air SA is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Enter Air SA appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Enter Air SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 1.12 B. Net Loss for the year was (117.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.

Additional Tools for Enter Stock Analysis

When running Enter Air's price analysis, check to measure Enter Air's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Enter Air is operating at the current time. Most of Enter Air's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Enter Air's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Enter Air's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Enter Air to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.