Korea Computer (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11942.5

115500 Stock  KRW 11,100  880.00  7.35%   
Korea Computer's future price is the expected price of Korea Computer instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Korea Computer Systems performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Korea Computer Backtesting, Korea Computer Valuation, Korea Computer Correlation, Korea Computer Hype Analysis, Korea Computer Volatility, Korea Computer History as well as Korea Computer Performance.
  
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Korea Computer Target Price Odds to finish below 11942.5

The tendency of Korea Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under W 11,942  after 90 days
 11,100 90 days 11,942 
about 89.25
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Korea Computer to stay under W 11,942  after 90 days from now is about 89.25 (This Korea Computer Systems probability density function shows the probability of Korea Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Korea Computer Systems price to stay between its current price of W 11,100  and W 11,942  at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Korea Computer has a beta of 0.0019. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Korea Computer average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Korea Computer Systems will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover Korea Computer Systems has an alpha of 1.0277, implying that it can generate a 1.03 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Korea Computer Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Korea Computer

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Korea Computer Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11,09211,10011,108
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10,81910,82712,210
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10,33010,33810,346
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10,12511,03311,941
Details

Korea Computer Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Korea Computer is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Korea Computer's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Korea Computer Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Korea Computer within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0
σ
Overall volatility
2,350
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Korea Computer Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Korea Computer for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Korea Computer Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Korea Computer is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Korea Computer appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Korea Computer Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Korea Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Korea Computer's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Korea Computer's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12 M
Cash And Short Term Investments12.9 B

Korea Computer Technical Analysis

Korea Computer's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Korea Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Korea Computer Systems. In general, you should focus on analyzing Korea Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Korea Computer Predictive Forecast Models

Korea Computer's time-series forecasting models is one of many Korea Computer's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Korea Computer's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Korea Computer Systems

Checking the ongoing alerts about Korea Computer for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Korea Computer Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Korea Computer is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Korea Computer appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Other Information on Investing in Korea Stock

Korea Computer financial ratios help investors to determine whether Korea Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Korea with respect to the benefits of owning Korea Computer security.