Formetal (Korea) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2780.0

119500 Stock  KRW 2,780  10.00  0.36%   
Formetal's future price is the expected price of Formetal instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Formetal Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Formetal Backtesting, Formetal Valuation, Formetal Correlation, Formetal Hype Analysis, Formetal Volatility, Formetal History as well as Formetal Performance.
  
Please specify Formetal's target price for which you would like Formetal odds to be computed.

Formetal Target Price Odds to finish below 2780.0

The tendency of Formetal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 2,780 90 days 2,780 
about 35.2
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Formetal to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 35.2 (This Formetal Co probability density function shows the probability of Formetal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Formetal Co has a beta of -0.34. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Formetal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Formetal Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Formetal Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Formetal Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Formetal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Formetal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,7782,7802,782
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,5772,5783,058
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,7472,7482,750
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,6692,8212,973
Details

Formetal Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Formetal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Formetal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Formetal Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Formetal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.34
σ
Overall volatility
97.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Formetal Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Formetal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Formetal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Formetal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 33.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Formetal Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Formetal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Formetal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Formetal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.5 B

Formetal Technical Analysis

Formetal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Formetal Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Formetal Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Formetal Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Formetal Predictive Forecast Models

Formetal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Formetal's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Formetal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Formetal

Checking the ongoing alerts about Formetal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Formetal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Formetal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 33.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Formetal Stock

Formetal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Formetal Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Formetal with respect to the benefits of owning Formetal security.