Great Wall (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 52.86
| 1210 Stock | TWD 52.90 0.50 0.94% |
Great |
Great Wall Target Price Odds to finish below 52.86
The tendency of Great Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 52.86 or more in 90 days |
| 52.90 | 90 days | 52.86 | roughly 96.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Great Wall to drop to NT$ 52.86 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This Great Wall Enterprise probability density function shows the probability of Great Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Great Wall Enterprise price to stay between NT$ 52.86 and its current price of NT$52.9 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Great Wall Enterprise has a beta of -0.0254. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Great Wall are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Great Wall Enterprise is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Great Wall Enterprise has an alpha of 0.0334, implying that it can generate a 0.0334 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Great Wall Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Great Wall
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Great Wall Enterprise. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Great Wall Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Great Wall is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Great Wall's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Great Wall Enterprise, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Great Wall within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Great Wall Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Great Wall for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Great Wall Enterprise can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Great Wall Enterprise has accumulated 1.15 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.74, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Great Wall Enterprise has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Great Wall until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Great Wall's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Great Wall Enterprise sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Great to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Great Wall's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 31.0% of Great Wall shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Great Wall Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Great Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Great Wall's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Great Wall's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 805.4 M |
Great Wall Technical Analysis
Great Wall's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Great Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Great Wall Enterprise. In general, you should focus on analyzing Great Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Great Wall Predictive Forecast Models
Great Wall's time-series forecasting models is one of many Great Wall's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Great Wall's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Great Wall Enterprise
Checking the ongoing alerts about Great Wall for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Great Wall Enterprise help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Great Wall Enterprise has accumulated 1.15 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.74, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Great Wall Enterprise has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Great Wall until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Great Wall's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Great Wall Enterprise sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Great to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Great Wall's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 31.0% of Great Wall shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Great Stock Analysis
When running Great Wall's price analysis, check to measure Great Wall's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Great Wall is operating at the current time. Most of Great Wall's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Great Wall's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Great Wall's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Great Wall to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.