Seojin Automotive (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3,949

122690 Stock  KRW 1,860  13.00  0.70%   
Seojin Automotive's future price is the expected price of Seojin Automotive instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Seojin Automotive CoLtd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Seojin Automotive Backtesting, Seojin Automotive Valuation, Seojin Automotive Correlation, Seojin Automotive Hype Analysis, Seojin Automotive Volatility, Seojin Automotive History as well as Seojin Automotive Performance.
  
Please specify Seojin Automotive's target price for which you would like Seojin Automotive odds to be computed.

Seojin Automotive Target Price Odds to finish below 3,949

The tendency of Seojin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 1,860 90 days 1,860 
nearly 4.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Seojin Automotive to move below current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.5 (This Seojin Automotive CoLtd probability density function shows the probability of Seojin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Seojin Automotive has a beta of 0.26. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Seojin Automotive average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Seojin Automotive CoLtd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Seojin Automotive CoLtd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Seojin Automotive Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Seojin Automotive

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seojin Automotive CoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,8581,8601,862
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,5231,5252,046
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Seojin Automotive. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Seojin Automotive's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Seojin Automotive's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Seojin Automotive CoLtd.

Seojin Automotive Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Seojin Automotive is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Seojin Automotive's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Seojin Automotive CoLtd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Seojin Automotive within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.41
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.26
σ
Overall volatility
223.73
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

Seojin Automotive Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Seojin Automotive for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Seojin Automotive CoLtd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Seojin Automotive generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Seojin Automotive has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Seojin Automotive CoLtd has accumulated 56.76 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 200.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Seojin Automotive CoLtd has a current ratio of 0.54, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Seojin Automotive until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Seojin Automotive's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Seojin Automotive CoLtd sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Seojin to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Seojin Automotive's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 64.0% of Seojin Automotive shares are owned by insiders or employees

Seojin Automotive Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Seojin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Seojin Automotive's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seojin Automotive's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments12 B

Seojin Automotive Technical Analysis

Seojin Automotive's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Seojin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Seojin Automotive CoLtd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Seojin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Seojin Automotive Predictive Forecast Models

Seojin Automotive's time-series forecasting models is one of many Seojin Automotive's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Seojin Automotive's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Seojin Automotive CoLtd

Checking the ongoing alerts about Seojin Automotive for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Seojin Automotive CoLtd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Seojin Automotive generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Seojin Automotive has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Seojin Automotive CoLtd has accumulated 56.76 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 200.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Seojin Automotive CoLtd has a current ratio of 0.54, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Seojin Automotive until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Seojin Automotive's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Seojin Automotive CoLtd sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Seojin to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Seojin Automotive's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 64.0% of Seojin Automotive shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Seojin Stock

Seojin Automotive financial ratios help investors to determine whether Seojin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Seojin with respect to the benefits of owning Seojin Automotive security.