MS Autotech (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2,719

123040 Stock  KRW 2,700  75.00  2.86%   
MS Autotech's future price is the expected price of MS Autotech instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of MS Autotech CoLtd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out MS Autotech Backtesting, MS Autotech Valuation, MS Autotech Correlation, MS Autotech Hype Analysis, MS Autotech Volatility, MS Autotech History as well as MS Autotech Performance.
  
Please specify MS Autotech's target price for which you would like MS Autotech odds to be computed.

MS Autotech Target Price Odds to finish below 2,719

The tendency of 123040 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 2,700 90 days 2,700 
about 6.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MS Autotech to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 6.5 (This MS Autotech CoLtd probability density function shows the probability of 123040 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MS Autotech CoLtd has a beta of -0.11. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding MS Autotech are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MS Autotech CoLtd is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MS Autotech CoLtd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   MS Autotech Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MS Autotech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MS Autotech CoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,6982,7002,702
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,4012,4032,970
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,7192,7222,724
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,5662,6782,791
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as MS Autotech. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against MS Autotech's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, MS Autotech's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in MS Autotech CoLtd.

MS Autotech Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MS Autotech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MS Autotech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MS Autotech CoLtd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MS Autotech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.4
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.11
σ
Overall volatility
309.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.25

MS Autotech Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MS Autotech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MS Autotech CoLtd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MS Autotech CoLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
MS Autotech CoLtd has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
MS Autotech CoLtd has accumulated 290.15 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 393.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. MS Autotech CoLtd has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist MS Autotech until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, MS Autotech's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like MS Autotech CoLtd sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for 123040 to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about MS Autotech's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 25.0% of MS Autotech shares are owned by insiders or employees

MS Autotech Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 123040 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MS Autotech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MS Autotech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding43.5 M
Dividends Paid1.7 B
Cash And Short Term Investments142.5 B
Shares Float20.6 M

MS Autotech Technical Analysis

MS Autotech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 123040 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MS Autotech CoLtd. In general, you should focus on analyzing 123040 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

MS Autotech Predictive Forecast Models

MS Autotech's time-series forecasting models is one of many MS Autotech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MS Autotech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about MS Autotech CoLtd

Checking the ongoing alerts about MS Autotech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MS Autotech CoLtd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MS Autotech CoLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
MS Autotech CoLtd has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
MS Autotech CoLtd has accumulated 290.15 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 393.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. MS Autotech CoLtd has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist MS Autotech until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, MS Autotech's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like MS Autotech CoLtd sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for 123040 to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about MS Autotech's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 25.0% of MS Autotech shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in 123040 Stock

MS Autotech financial ratios help investors to determine whether 123040 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 123040 with respect to the benefits of owning MS Autotech security.