Amogreentech (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5837.44

125210 Stock   6,550  20.00  0.31%   
Amogreentech's future price is the expected price of Amogreentech instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Amogreentech Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Amogreentech Backtesting, Amogreentech Valuation, Amogreentech Correlation, Amogreentech Hype Analysis, Amogreentech Volatility, Amogreentech History as well as Amogreentech Performance.
  
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Amogreentech Target Price Odds to finish below 5837.44

The tendency of Amogreentech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  5,837  or more in 90 days
 6,550 90 days 5,837 
roughly 2.01
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amogreentech to drop to  5,837  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.01 (This Amogreentech Co probability density function shows the probability of Amogreentech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Amogreentech price to stay between  5,837  and its current price of 6550.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.87 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Amogreentech has a beta of 0.52. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Amogreentech average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Amogreentech Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Amogreentech Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Amogreentech Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Amogreentech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amogreentech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6,5476,5506,553
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5,9175,9207,205
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5,8345,8375,841
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6,5246,5436,562
Details

Amogreentech Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amogreentech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amogreentech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amogreentech Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amogreentech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.42
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.52
σ
Overall volatility
740.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Amogreentech Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amogreentech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amogreentech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amogreentech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Amogreentech has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Amogreentech Technical Analysis

Amogreentech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amogreentech Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amogreentech Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amogreentech Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Amogreentech Predictive Forecast Models

Amogreentech's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amogreentech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amogreentech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Amogreentech

Checking the ongoing alerts about Amogreentech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amogreentech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amogreentech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Amogreentech has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Other Information on Investing in Amogreentech Stock

Amogreentech financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amogreentech Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amogreentech with respect to the benefits of owning Amogreentech security.