Amogreentech CoLtd (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6550.0

125210 Stock  KRW 6,550  20.00  0.31%   
Amogreentech CoLtd's future price is the expected price of Amogreentech CoLtd instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Amogreentech CoLtd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Amogreentech CoLtd Backtesting, Amogreentech CoLtd Valuation, Amogreentech CoLtd Correlation, Amogreentech CoLtd Hype Analysis, Amogreentech CoLtd Volatility, Amogreentech CoLtd History as well as Amogreentech CoLtd Performance.
  
Please specify Amogreentech CoLtd's target price for which you would like Amogreentech CoLtd odds to be computed.

Amogreentech CoLtd Target Price Odds to finish below 6550.0

The tendency of Amogreentech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 6,550 90 days 6,550 
about 13.83
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amogreentech CoLtd to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 13.83 (This Amogreentech CoLtd probability density function shows the probability of Amogreentech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Amogreentech CoLtd has a beta of 0.52. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Amogreentech CoLtd average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Amogreentech CoLtd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Amogreentech CoLtd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Amogreentech CoLtd Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Amogreentech CoLtd

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amogreentech CoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6,5476,5506,553
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6,3396,3437,205
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5,8345,8375,841
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6,5246,5436,562
Details

Amogreentech CoLtd Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amogreentech CoLtd is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amogreentech CoLtd's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amogreentech CoLtd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amogreentech CoLtd within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.42
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.52
σ
Overall volatility
740.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Amogreentech CoLtd Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amogreentech CoLtd for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amogreentech CoLtd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amogreentech CoLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Amogreentech CoLtd has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Amogreentech CoLtd Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amogreentech Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amogreentech CoLtd's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amogreentech CoLtd's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding16.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments13.3 B

Amogreentech CoLtd Technical Analysis

Amogreentech CoLtd's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amogreentech Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amogreentech CoLtd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amogreentech Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Amogreentech CoLtd Predictive Forecast Models

Amogreentech CoLtd's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amogreentech CoLtd's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amogreentech CoLtd's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Amogreentech CoLtd

Checking the ongoing alerts about Amogreentech CoLtd for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amogreentech CoLtd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amogreentech CoLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Amogreentech CoLtd has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Amogreentech Stock

Amogreentech CoLtd financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amogreentech Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amogreentech with respect to the benefits of owning Amogreentech CoLtd security.