PJ Metal (Korea) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3239.25

128660 Stock  KRW 3,075  15.00  0.49%   
PJ Metal's future price is the expected price of PJ Metal instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PJ Metal Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PJ Metal Backtesting, PJ Metal Valuation, PJ Metal Correlation, PJ Metal Hype Analysis, PJ Metal Volatility, PJ Metal History as well as PJ Metal Performance.
  
Please specify PJ Metal's target price for which you would like PJ Metal odds to be computed.

PJ Metal Target Price Odds to finish over 3239.25

The tendency of 128660 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over W 3,239  or more in 90 days
 3,075 90 days 3,239 
about 41.52
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PJ Metal to move over W 3,239  or more in 90 days from now is about 41.52 (This PJ Metal Co probability density function shows the probability of 128660 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PJ Metal price to stay between its current price of W 3,075  and W 3,239  at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.25 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PJ Metal Co has a beta of -0.28. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding PJ Metal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, PJ Metal Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally PJ Metal Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   PJ Metal Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PJ Metal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PJ Metal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,0713,0753,079
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,7032,7073,382
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3,0603,0643,068
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,9403,1453,350
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as PJ Metal. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against PJ Metal's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, PJ Metal's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PJ Metal.

PJ Metal Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PJ Metal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PJ Metal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PJ Metal Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PJ Metal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.28
σ
Overall volatility
186.32
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

PJ Metal Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PJ Metal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PJ Metal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PJ Metal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
PJ Metal has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

PJ Metal Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 128660 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PJ Metal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PJ Metal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding24.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments374.3 M

PJ Metal Technical Analysis

PJ Metal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 128660 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PJ Metal Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing 128660 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PJ Metal Predictive Forecast Models

PJ Metal's time-series forecasting models is one of many PJ Metal's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PJ Metal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PJ Metal

Checking the ongoing alerts about PJ Metal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PJ Metal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PJ Metal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
PJ Metal has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in 128660 Stock

PJ Metal financial ratios help investors to determine whether 128660 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 128660 with respect to the benefits of owning PJ Metal security.