Dell Technologies (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 127.37
| 12DA Stock | EUR 121.56 0.56 0.46% |
Dell |
Dell Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 127.37
The tendency of Dell Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 127.37 after 90 days |
| 121.56 | 90 days | 127.37 | about 88.28 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dell Technologies to stay under € 127.37 after 90 days from now is about 88.28 (This Dell Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Dell Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dell Technologies price to stay between its current price of € 121.56 and € 127.37 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dell Technologies has a beta of 0.0438. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Dell Technologies average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dell Technologies will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dell Technologies has an alpha of 0.2894, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Dell Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Dell Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dell Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Dell Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dell Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dell Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dell Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dell Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.35 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Dell Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dell Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dell Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Dell Technologies had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Dell Technologies has accumulated 21.13 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Dell Technologies has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Dell Technologies until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Dell Technologies' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Dell Technologies sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Dell to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Dell Technologies' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 81.0% of Dell Technologies shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Dell Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dell Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dell Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dell Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 763.9 M |
Dell Technologies Technical Analysis
Dell Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dell Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dell Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dell Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dell Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
Dell Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Dell Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dell Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Dell Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Dell Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dell Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Dell Technologies had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Dell Technologies has accumulated 21.13 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Dell Technologies has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Dell Technologies until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Dell Technologies' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Dell Technologies sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Dell to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Dell Technologies' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 81.0% of Dell Technologies shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Dell Stock
When determining whether Dell Technologies is a strong investment it is important to analyze Dell Technologies' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Dell Technologies' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Dell Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Dell Technologies Backtesting, Dell Technologies Valuation, Dell Technologies Correlation, Dell Technologies Hype Analysis, Dell Technologies Volatility, Dell Technologies History as well as Dell Technologies Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Dell Stock please use our How to Invest in Dell Technologies guide.You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.