Tong Yang (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 117.0

1319 Stock  TWD 115.00  4.50  4.07%   
Tong Yang's future price is the expected price of Tong Yang instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tong Yang Industry performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tong Yang Backtesting, Tong Yang Valuation, Tong Yang Correlation, Tong Yang Hype Analysis, Tong Yang Volatility, Tong Yang History as well as Tong Yang Performance.
  
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Tong Yang Target Price Odds to finish below 117.0

The tendency of Tong Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under NT$ 117.00  after 90 days
 115.00 90 days 117.00 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tong Yang to stay under NT$ 117.00  after 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Tong Yang Industry probability density function shows the probability of Tong Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tong Yang Industry price to stay between its current price of NT$ 115.00  and NT$ 117.00  at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.27 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tong Yang has a beta of 0.35. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Tong Yang average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tong Yang Industry will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tong Yang Industry has an alpha of 0.0982, implying that it can generate a 0.0982 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Tong Yang Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tong Yang

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tong Yang Industry. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
112.99115.00117.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
110.74112.75126.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
109.07111.08113.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
101.67110.11118.55
Details

Tong Yang Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tong Yang is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tong Yang's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tong Yang Industry, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tong Yang within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.35
σ
Overall volatility
4.19
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Tong Yang Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tong Yang for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tong Yang Industry can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Tong Yang Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tong Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tong Yang's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tong Yang's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding591.5 M

Tong Yang Technical Analysis

Tong Yang's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tong Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tong Yang Industry. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tong Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tong Yang Predictive Forecast Models

Tong Yang's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tong Yang's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tong Yang's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tong Yang Industry

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tong Yang for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tong Yang Industry help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Tong Stock Analysis

When running Tong Yang's price analysis, check to measure Tong Yang's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tong Yang is operating at the current time. Most of Tong Yang's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tong Yang's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tong Yang's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tong Yang to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.