Finebesteel (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1,048

133820 Stock   1,082  31.00  2.95%   
Finebesteel's future price is the expected price of Finebesteel instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Finebesteel performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Finebesteel Backtesting, Finebesteel Valuation, Finebesteel Correlation, Finebesteel Hype Analysis, Finebesteel Volatility, Finebesteel History as well as Finebesteel Performance.
  
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Finebesteel Target Price Odds to finish below 1,048

The tendency of Finebesteel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 1,082 90 days 1,082 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Finebesteel to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Finebesteel probability density function shows the probability of Finebesteel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Finebesteel has a beta of 0.31. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Finebesteel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Finebesteel will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Finebesteel has an alpha of 0.0931, implying that it can generate a 0.0931 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Finebesteel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Finebesteel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Finebesteel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,0481,0511,054
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
991.99995.201,156
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,0841,0871,091
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
754.61942.461,130
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Finebesteel. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Finebesteel's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Finebesteel's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Finebesteel.

Finebesteel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Finebesteel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Finebesteel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Finebesteel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Finebesteel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.31
σ
Overall volatility
73.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Finebesteel Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Finebesteel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Finebesteel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Finebesteel had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Finebesteel Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Finebesteel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Finebesteel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Finebesteel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding29.6 M

Finebesteel Technical Analysis

Finebesteel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Finebesteel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Finebesteel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Finebesteel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Finebesteel Predictive Forecast Models

Finebesteel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Finebesteel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Finebesteel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Finebesteel

Checking the ongoing alerts about Finebesteel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Finebesteel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Finebesteel had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Finebesteel Stock

Finebesteel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Finebesteel Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Finebesteel with respect to the benefits of owning Finebesteel security.