Miwon Chemical (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 80000.0

134380 Stock   78,500  1,100  1.38%   
Miwon Chemical's future price is the expected price of Miwon Chemical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Miwon Chemical performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Miwon Chemical Backtesting, Miwon Chemical Valuation, Miwon Chemical Correlation, Miwon Chemical Hype Analysis, Miwon Chemical Volatility, Miwon Chemical History as well as Miwon Chemical Performance.
  
Please specify Miwon Chemical's target price for which you would like Miwon Chemical odds to be computed.

Miwon Chemical Target Price Odds to finish over 80000.0

The tendency of Miwon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  80,000  or more in 90 days
 78,500 90 days 80,000 
about 30.06
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Miwon Chemical to move over  80,000  or more in 90 days from now is about 30.06 (This Miwon Chemical probability density function shows the probability of Miwon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Miwon Chemical price to stay between its current price of  78,500  and  80,000  at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.59 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Miwon Chemical has a beta of -0.0106. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Miwon Chemical are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Miwon Chemical is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Miwon Chemical has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Miwon Chemical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Miwon Chemical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Miwon Chemical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
78,49978,50078,501
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
70,65078,60078,601
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
79,45779,45879,458
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
76,32077,99079,660
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Miwon Chemical. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Miwon Chemical's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Miwon Chemical's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Miwon Chemical.

Miwon Chemical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Miwon Chemical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Miwon Chemical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Miwon Chemical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Miwon Chemical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.01
σ
Overall volatility
840.49
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

Miwon Chemical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Miwon Chemical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Miwon Chemical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Miwon Chemical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Miwon Chemical Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Miwon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Miwon Chemical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Miwon Chemical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingM

Miwon Chemical Technical Analysis

Miwon Chemical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Miwon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Miwon Chemical. In general, you should focus on analyzing Miwon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Miwon Chemical Predictive Forecast Models

Miwon Chemical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Miwon Chemical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Miwon Chemical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Miwon Chemical

Checking the ongoing alerts about Miwon Chemical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Miwon Chemical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Miwon Chemical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Miwon Stock

Miwon Chemical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Miwon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Miwon with respect to the benefits of owning Miwon Chemical security.