Daechang Steel (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2,227

140520 Stock  KRW 2,240  15.00  0.67%   
Daechang Steel's future price is the expected price of Daechang Steel instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Daechang Steel Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Daechang Steel Backtesting, Daechang Steel Valuation, Daechang Steel Correlation, Daechang Steel Hype Analysis, Daechang Steel Volatility, Daechang Steel History as well as Daechang Steel Performance.
  
Please specify Daechang Steel's target price for which you would like Daechang Steel odds to be computed.

Daechang Steel Target Price Odds to finish below 2,227

The tendency of Daechang Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 2,240 90 days 2,240 
about 26.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Daechang Steel to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 26.49 (This Daechang Steel Co probability density function shows the probability of Daechang Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Daechang Steel Co has a beta of -0.15. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Daechang Steel are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Daechang Steel Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Daechang Steel Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Daechang Steel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Daechang Steel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Daechang Steel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,2382,2402,242
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,8661,8682,464
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,2152,2172,218
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,2142,2422,271
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Daechang Steel. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Daechang Steel's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Daechang Steel's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Daechang Steel.

Daechang Steel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Daechang Steel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Daechang Steel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Daechang Steel Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Daechang Steel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.15
σ
Overall volatility
33.74
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Daechang Steel Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Daechang Steel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Daechang Steel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Daechang Steel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Daechang Steel has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Daechang Steel Co has accumulated 100.43 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 128.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Daechang Steel has a current ratio of 0.66, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Daechang Steel until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Daechang Steel's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Daechang Steel sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Daechang to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Daechang Steel's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Daechang Steel Co has accumulated about 6.31 B in cash with (15.18 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 263.75.
Roughly 63.0% of Daechang Steel shares are owned by insiders or employees

Daechang Steel Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Daechang Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Daechang Steel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Daechang Steel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding21.1 M
Dividends PaidB
Cash And Short Term Investments11 B
Shares Float7.4 M

Daechang Steel Technical Analysis

Daechang Steel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Daechang Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Daechang Steel Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Daechang Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Daechang Steel Predictive Forecast Models

Daechang Steel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Daechang Steel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Daechang Steel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Daechang Steel

Checking the ongoing alerts about Daechang Steel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Daechang Steel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Daechang Steel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Daechang Steel has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Daechang Steel Co has accumulated 100.43 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 128.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Daechang Steel has a current ratio of 0.66, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Daechang Steel until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Daechang Steel's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Daechang Steel sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Daechang to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Daechang Steel's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Daechang Steel Co has accumulated about 6.31 B in cash with (15.18 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 263.75.
Roughly 63.0% of Daechang Steel shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Daechang Stock

Daechang Steel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Daechang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Daechang with respect to the benefits of owning Daechang Steel security.