Lealea Enterprise (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.19
| 1444 Stock | TWD 9.22 0.07 0.77% |
Lealea |
Lealea Enterprise Target Price Odds to finish below 9.19
The tendency of Lealea Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 9.19 or more in 90 days |
| 9.22 | 90 days | 9.19 | about 40.67 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lealea Enterprise to drop to NT$ 9.19 or more in 90 days from now is about 40.67 (This Lealea Enterprise Co probability density function shows the probability of Lealea Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lealea Enterprise price to stay between NT$ 9.19 and its current price of NT$9.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.58 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lealea Enterprise has a beta of 0.3. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Lealea Enterprise average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lealea Enterprise Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lealea Enterprise Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Lealea Enterprise Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lealea Enterprise
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lealea Enterprise. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lealea Enterprise Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lealea Enterprise is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lealea Enterprise's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lealea Enterprise Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lealea Enterprise within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Lealea Enterprise Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lealea Enterprise for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lealea Enterprise can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lealea Enterprise generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lealea Enterprise Co has accumulated about 1.6 B in cash with (1.07 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.69. | |
| Roughly 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Lealea Enterprise Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lealea Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lealea Enterprise's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lealea Enterprise's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 946.5 M |
Lealea Enterprise Technical Analysis
Lealea Enterprise's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lealea Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lealea Enterprise Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lealea Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lealea Enterprise Predictive Forecast Models
Lealea Enterprise's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lealea Enterprise's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lealea Enterprise's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lealea Enterprise
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lealea Enterprise for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lealea Enterprise help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lealea Enterprise generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lealea Enterprise Co has accumulated about 1.6 B in cash with (1.07 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.69. | |
| Roughly 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Lealea Stock Analysis
When running Lealea Enterprise's price analysis, check to measure Lealea Enterprise's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lealea Enterprise is operating at the current time. Most of Lealea Enterprise's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lealea Enterprise's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lealea Enterprise's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lealea Enterprise to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.