Universal Textile (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.27
| 1445 Stock | TWD 17.35 0.40 2.25% |
Universal |
Universal Textile Target Price Odds to finish below 15.27
The tendency of Universal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 15.27 or more in 90 days |
| 17.35 | 90 days | 15.27 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Universal Textile to drop to NT$ 15.27 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Universal Textile Co probability density function shows the probability of Universal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Universal Textile price to stay between NT$ 15.27 and its current price of NT$17.35 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.54 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Universal Textile Co has a beta of -0.14. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Universal Textile are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Universal Textile Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Universal Textile Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Universal Textile Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Universal Textile
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Universal Textile. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Universal Textile Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Universal Textile is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Universal Textile's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Universal Textile Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Universal Textile within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Universal Textile Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Universal Textile for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Universal Textile can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Universal Textile generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.25 B. Net Loss for the year was (25.19 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 84.08 M. | |
| Universal Textile Co has accumulated about 229.29 M in cash with (152.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.73. | |
| Roughly 54.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Universal Textile Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Universal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Universal Textile's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Universal Textile's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 130.7 M |
Universal Textile Technical Analysis
Universal Textile's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Universal Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Universal Textile Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Universal Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Universal Textile Predictive Forecast Models
Universal Textile's time-series forecasting models is one of many Universal Textile's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Universal Textile's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Universal Textile
Checking the ongoing alerts about Universal Textile for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Universal Textile help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Universal Textile generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.25 B. Net Loss for the year was (25.19 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 84.08 M. | |
| Universal Textile Co has accumulated about 229.29 M in cash with (152.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.73. | |
| Roughly 54.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Universal Stock Analysis
When running Universal Textile's price analysis, check to measure Universal Textile's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Universal Textile is operating at the current time. Most of Universal Textile's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Universal Textile's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Universal Textile's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Universal Textile to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.