Hong Ho (Taiwan) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 54.8

1446 Stock  TWD 52.90  4.80  8.32%   
Hong Ho's future price is the expected price of Hong Ho instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hong Ho Precision performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hong Ho Backtesting, Hong Ho Valuation, Hong Ho Correlation, Hong Ho Hype Analysis, Hong Ho Volatility, Hong Ho History as well as Hong Ho Performance.
  
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Hong Ho Target Price Odds to finish below 54.8

The tendency of Hong Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under NT$ 54.80  after 90 days
 52.90 90 days 54.80 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hong Ho to stay under NT$ 54.80  after 90 days from now is under 95 (This Hong Ho Precision probability density function shows the probability of Hong Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hong Ho Precision price to stay between its current price of NT$ 52.90  and NT$ 54.80  at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hong Ho Precision has a beta of -0.41. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Hong Ho are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Hong Ho Precision is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Hong Ho Precision has an alpha of 0.2933, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hong Ho Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hong Ho

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hong Ho Precision. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49.9252.9055.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
40.1643.1458.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
47.1650.1453.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
37.2148.5959.98
Details

Hong Ho Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hong Ho is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hong Ho's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hong Ho Precision, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hong Ho within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.41
σ
Overall volatility
4.67
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Hong Ho Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hong Ho for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hong Ho Precision can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 193.23 M. Net Loss for the year was (17.16 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 46.76 M.
Hong Ho Precision has accumulated about 198.11 M in cash with (319.78 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.44.
Roughly 57.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Hong Ho Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hong Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hong Ho's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hong Ho's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding137.7 M

Hong Ho Technical Analysis

Hong Ho's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hong Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hong Ho Precision. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hong Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hong Ho Predictive Forecast Models

Hong Ho's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hong Ho's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hong Ho's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hong Ho Precision

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hong Ho for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hong Ho Precision help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 193.23 M. Net Loss for the year was (17.16 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 46.76 M.
Hong Ho Precision has accumulated about 198.11 M in cash with (319.78 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.44.
Roughly 57.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Hong Stock Analysis

When running Hong Ho's price analysis, check to measure Hong Ho's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hong Ho is operating at the current time. Most of Hong Ho's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hong Ho's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hong Ho's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hong Ho to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.