Ta Jiang (Taiwan) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.60

1453 Stock  TWD 15.60  0.15  0.97%   
Ta Jiang's future price is the expected price of Ta Jiang instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ta Jiang Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ta Jiang Backtesting, Ta Jiang Valuation, Ta Jiang Correlation, Ta Jiang Hype Analysis, Ta Jiang Volatility, Ta Jiang History as well as Ta Jiang Performance.
  
Please specify Ta Jiang's target price for which you would like Ta Jiang odds to be computed.

Ta Jiang Target Price Odds to finish over 15.60

The tendency of 1453 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 15.60 90 days 15.60 
about 90.24
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ta Jiang to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 90.24 (This Ta Jiang Co probability density function shows the probability of 1453 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ta Jiang has a beta of 0.22. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Ta Jiang average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ta Jiang Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ta Jiang Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Ta Jiang Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ta Jiang

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ta Jiang. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.7515.6017.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.2513.1017.16
Details

Ta Jiang Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ta Jiang is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ta Jiang's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ta Jiang Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ta Jiang within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.45
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.22
σ
Overall volatility
1.49
Ir
Information ratio -0.29

Ta Jiang Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ta Jiang for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ta Jiang can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ta Jiang generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ta Jiang Co has accumulated about 465.03 M in cash with (234.31 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.49.
Roughly 72.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Ta Jiang Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 1453 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ta Jiang's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ta Jiang's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding100.6 M

Ta Jiang Technical Analysis

Ta Jiang's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 1453 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ta Jiang Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing 1453 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ta Jiang Predictive Forecast Models

Ta Jiang's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ta Jiang's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ta Jiang's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ta Jiang

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ta Jiang for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ta Jiang help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ta Jiang generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ta Jiang Co has accumulated about 465.03 M in cash with (234.31 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.49.
Roughly 72.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for 1453 Stock Analysis

When running Ta Jiang's price analysis, check to measure Ta Jiang's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ta Jiang is operating at the current time. Most of Ta Jiang's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ta Jiang's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ta Jiang's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ta Jiang to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.