Zig Sheng (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.56
| 1455 Stock | TWD 10.15 0.10 1.00% |
Zig |
Zig Sheng Target Price Odds to finish below 7.56
The tendency of Zig Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 7.56 or more in 90 days |
| 10.15 | 90 days | 7.56 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zig Sheng to drop to NT$ 7.56 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Zig Sheng Industrial probability density function shows the probability of Zig Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Zig Sheng Industrial price to stay between NT$ 7.56 and its current price of NT$10.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.29 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Zig Sheng Industrial has a beta of -0.0911. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Zig Sheng are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Zig Sheng Industrial is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Zig Sheng Industrial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Zig Sheng Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Zig Sheng
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zig Sheng Industrial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Zig Sheng Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zig Sheng is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zig Sheng's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zig Sheng Industrial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zig Sheng within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
Zig Sheng Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Zig Sheng for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Zig Sheng Industrial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Zig Sheng Industrial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Zig Sheng Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Zig Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Zig Sheng's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zig Sheng's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 531.7 M |
Zig Sheng Technical Analysis
Zig Sheng's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zig Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zig Sheng Industrial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zig Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Zig Sheng Predictive Forecast Models
Zig Sheng's time-series forecasting models is one of many Zig Sheng's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zig Sheng's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Zig Sheng Industrial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Zig Sheng for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Zig Sheng Industrial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Zig Sheng Industrial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Zig Stock Analysis
When running Zig Sheng's price analysis, check to measure Zig Sheng's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Zig Sheng is operating at the current time. Most of Zig Sheng's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Zig Sheng's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Zig Sheng's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Zig Sheng to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.