1414 Degrees (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.076
| 14D Stock | 0.03 0 5.71% |
1414 |
1414 Degrees Target Price Odds to finish over 0.076
The tendency of 1414 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 0.08 or more in 90 days |
| 0.03 | 90 days | 0.08 | about 1.18 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 1414 Degrees to move over 0.08 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.18 (This 1414 Degrees probability density function shows the probability of 1414 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of 1414 Degrees price to stay between its current price of 0.03 and 0.08 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.17 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.03 . This suggests 1414 Degrees market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, 1414 Degrees is expected to follow. Additionally 1414 Degrees has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. 1414 Degrees Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for 1414 Degrees
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 1414 Degrees. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.1414 Degrees Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 1414 Degrees is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 1414 Degrees' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold 1414 Degrees, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 1414 Degrees within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.95 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
1414 Degrees Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 1414 Degrees for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for 1414 Degrees can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| 1414 Degrees generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| 1414 Degrees has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| 1414 Degrees has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| 1414 Degrees has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 115.39 K. Net Loss for the year was (2.51 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 115.39 K. | |
| 1414 Degrees generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 26.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Direct Line bid would accelerate Avivas capital-light strategy, says investment bank - Proactive Investors USA |
1414 Degrees Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 1414 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential 1414 Degrees' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. 1414 Degrees' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 233.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.9 M |
1414 Degrees Technical Analysis
1414 Degrees' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 1414 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of 1414 Degrees. In general, you should focus on analyzing 1414 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
1414 Degrees Predictive Forecast Models
1414 Degrees' time-series forecasting models is one of many 1414 Degrees' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 1414 Degrees' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about 1414 Degrees
Checking the ongoing alerts about 1414 Degrees for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for 1414 Degrees help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| 1414 Degrees generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| 1414 Degrees has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| 1414 Degrees has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| 1414 Degrees has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 115.39 K. Net Loss for the year was (2.51 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 115.39 K. | |
| 1414 Degrees generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 26.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Direct Line bid would accelerate Avivas capital-light strategy, says investment bank - Proactive Investors USA |
Additional Tools for 1414 Stock Analysis
When running 1414 Degrees' price analysis, check to measure 1414 Degrees' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy 1414 Degrees is operating at the current time. Most of 1414 Degrees' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of 1414 Degrees' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move 1414 Degrees' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of 1414 Degrees to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.