ATON (Korea) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5,235

158430 Stock  KRW 5,720  320.00  5.93%   
ATON's future price is the expected price of ATON instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ATON Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ATON Backtesting, ATON Valuation, ATON Correlation, ATON Hype Analysis, ATON Volatility, ATON History as well as ATON Performance.
  
Please specify ATON's target price for which you would like ATON odds to be computed.

ATON Target Price Odds to finish below 5,235

The tendency of ATON Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 5,720 90 days 5,720 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ATON to move below current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This ATON Inc probability density function shows the probability of ATON Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ATON Inc has a beta of -0.92. This suggests Additionally ATON Inc has an alpha of 0.9481, implying that it can generate a 0.95 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ATON Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ATON

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ATON Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5,7155,7205,725
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,4224,4276,292
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6,0526,0576,063
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3,3034,6546,006
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ATON. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ATON's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ATON's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ATON Inc.

ATON Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ATON is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ATON's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ATON Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ATON within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.95
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.92
σ
Overall volatility
542.14
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

ATON Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ATON for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ATON Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ATON Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon
ATON Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 33.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

ATON Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ATON Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ATON's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ATON's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments46.4 B

ATON Technical Analysis

ATON's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ATON Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ATON Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing ATON Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ATON Predictive Forecast Models

ATON's time-series forecasting models is one of many ATON's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ATON's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ATON Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about ATON for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ATON Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ATON Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon
ATON Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 33.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in ATON Stock

ATON financial ratios help investors to determine whether ATON Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ATON with respect to the benefits of owning ATON security.