Macromill Embrain (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1751.4
| 169330 Stock | KRW 2,015 10.00 0.49% |
Macromill |
Macromill Embrain Target Price Odds to finish over 1751.4
The tendency of Macromill Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above W 1,751 in 90 days |
| 2,015 | 90 days | 1,751 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Macromill Embrain to stay above W 1,751 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Macromill Embrain Co probability density function shows the probability of Macromill Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Macromill Embrain price to stay between W 1,751 and its current price of W2015.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.22 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Macromill Embrain has a beta of 0.0929. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Macromill Embrain average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Macromill Embrain Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Macromill Embrain Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Macromill Embrain Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Macromill Embrain
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Macromill Embrain. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Macromill Embrain Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Macromill Embrain is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Macromill Embrain's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Macromill Embrain Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Macromill Embrain within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 58.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Macromill Embrain Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Macromill Embrain for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Macromill Embrain can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Macromill Embrain generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Macromill Embrain Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Macromill Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Macromill Embrain's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Macromill Embrain's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 21.4 B |
Macromill Embrain Technical Analysis
Macromill Embrain's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Macromill Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Macromill Embrain Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Macromill Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Macromill Embrain Predictive Forecast Models
Macromill Embrain's time-series forecasting models is one of many Macromill Embrain's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Macromill Embrain's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Macromill Embrain
Checking the ongoing alerts about Macromill Embrain for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Macromill Embrain help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Macromill Embrain generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Macromill Stock
Macromill Embrain financial ratios help investors to determine whether Macromill Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Macromill with respect to the benefits of owning Macromill Embrain security.