Upland Software (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.87
| 16U Stock | EUR 3.56 0.40 12.66% |
Upland |
Upland Software Target Price Odds to finish below 1.87
The tendency of Upland Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 1.87 or more in 90 days |
| 3.56 | 90 days | 1.87 | about 12.88 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Upland Software to drop to € 1.87 or more in 90 days from now is about 12.88 (This Upland Software probability density function shows the probability of Upland Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Upland Software price to stay between € 1.87 and its current price of €3.56 at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.06 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.35 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Upland Software will likely underperform. Additionally Upland Software has an alpha of 0.6449, implying that it can generate a 0.64 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Upland Software Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Upland Software
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Upland Software. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Upland Software Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Upland Software is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Upland Software's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Upland Software, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Upland Software within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.64 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Upland Software Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Upland Software for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Upland Software can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Upland Software is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Upland Software appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Upland Software has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Upland Software has accumulated 511.85 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 333.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Upland Software has a current ratio of 0.56, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Upland Software until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Upland Software's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Upland Software sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Upland to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Upland Software's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 317.3 M. Net Loss for the year was (68.41 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 213.56 M. | |
| Over 81.0% of Upland Software shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Upland Software Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Upland Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Upland Software's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Upland Software's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.8 M |
Upland Software Technical Analysis
Upland Software's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Upland Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Upland Software. In general, you should focus on analyzing Upland Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Upland Software Predictive Forecast Models
Upland Software's time-series forecasting models is one of many Upland Software's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Upland Software's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Upland Software
Checking the ongoing alerts about Upland Software for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Upland Software help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Upland Software is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Upland Software appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Upland Software has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Upland Software has accumulated 511.85 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 333.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Upland Software has a current ratio of 0.56, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Upland Software until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Upland Software's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Upland Software sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Upland to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Upland Software's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 317.3 M. Net Loss for the year was (68.41 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 213.56 M. | |
| Over 81.0% of Upland Software shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Upland Stock
When determining whether Upland Software is a strong investment it is important to analyze Upland Software's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Upland Software's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Upland Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Upland Software Backtesting, Upland Software Valuation, Upland Software Correlation, Upland Software Hype Analysis, Upland Software Volatility, Upland Software History as well as Upland Software Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Upland Stock please use our How to Invest in Upland Software guide.You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.