LTC CoLtd (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9095.0

170920 Stock   9,090  10.00  0.11%   
LTC CoLtd's future price is the expected price of LTC CoLtd instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of LTC CoLtd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out LTC CoLtd Backtesting, LTC CoLtd Valuation, LTC CoLtd Correlation, LTC CoLtd Hype Analysis, LTC CoLtd Volatility, LTC CoLtd History as well as LTC CoLtd Performance.
  
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LTC CoLtd Target Price Odds to finish below 9095.0

The tendency of LTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  9,095  after 90 days
 9,090 90 days 9,095 
about 9.69
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LTC CoLtd to stay under  9,095  after 90 days from now is about 9.69 (This LTC CoLtd probability density function shows the probability of LTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LTC CoLtd price to stay between its current price of  9,090  and  9,095  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LTC CoLtd has a beta of 0.44. This suggests as returns on the market go up, LTC CoLtd average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding LTC CoLtd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally LTC CoLtd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   LTC CoLtd Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for LTC CoLtd

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LTC CoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9,0879,0909,093
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7,4517,4549,999
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8,4558,4588,461
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9,08610,02110,956
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as LTC CoLtd. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against LTC CoLtd's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, LTC CoLtd's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in LTC CoLtd.

LTC CoLtd Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LTC CoLtd is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LTC CoLtd's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LTC CoLtd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LTC CoLtd within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.44
σ
Overall volatility
796.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

LTC CoLtd Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LTC CoLtd for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LTC CoLtd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LTC CoLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 78.29 B. Net Loss for the year was (9.06 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 23.99 B.
LTC CoLtd has accumulated about 27.13 B in cash with (8.32 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 37.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

LTC CoLtd Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LTC CoLtd's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LTC CoLtd's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments32 B

LTC CoLtd Technical Analysis

LTC CoLtd's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LTC CoLtd. In general, you should focus on analyzing LTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

LTC CoLtd Predictive Forecast Models

LTC CoLtd's time-series forecasting models is one of many LTC CoLtd's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LTC CoLtd's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about LTC CoLtd

Checking the ongoing alerts about LTC CoLtd for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LTC CoLtd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LTC CoLtd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 78.29 B. Net Loss for the year was (9.06 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 23.99 B.
LTC CoLtd has accumulated about 27.13 B in cash with (8.32 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 37.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in LTC Stock

LTC CoLtd financial ratios help investors to determine whether LTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LTC with respect to the benefits of owning LTC CoLtd security.