Lion Chemtech (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4,101

171120 Stock  KRW 2,490  10.00  0.40%   
Lion Chemtech's future price is the expected price of Lion Chemtech instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lion Chemtech Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lion Chemtech Backtesting, Lion Chemtech Valuation, Lion Chemtech Correlation, Lion Chemtech Hype Analysis, Lion Chemtech Volatility, Lion Chemtech History as well as Lion Chemtech Performance.
  
Please specify Lion Chemtech's target price for which you would like Lion Chemtech odds to be computed.

Lion Chemtech Target Price Odds to finish below 4,101

The tendency of Lion Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 2,490 90 days 2,490 
about 73.9
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lion Chemtech to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 73.9 (This Lion Chemtech Co probability density function shows the probability of Lion Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lion Chemtech has a beta of 0.3. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Lion Chemtech average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lion Chemtech Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lion Chemtech Co has an alpha of 0.1729, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Lion Chemtech Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lion Chemtech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lion Chemtech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,4872,4902,493
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,0712,0742,739
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,4032,4062,408
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,4032,5182,632
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lion Chemtech. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lion Chemtech's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lion Chemtech's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Lion Chemtech.

Lion Chemtech Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lion Chemtech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lion Chemtech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lion Chemtech Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lion Chemtech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.30
σ
Overall volatility
228.51
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Lion Chemtech Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lion Chemtech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lion Chemtech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Lion Chemtech Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lion Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lion Chemtech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lion Chemtech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18 M
Cash And Short Term Investments22.8 B

Lion Chemtech Technical Analysis

Lion Chemtech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lion Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lion Chemtech Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lion Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lion Chemtech Predictive Forecast Models

Lion Chemtech's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lion Chemtech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lion Chemtech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lion Chemtech

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lion Chemtech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lion Chemtech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Lion Stock

Lion Chemtech financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lion Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lion with respect to the benefits of owning Lion Chemtech security.