Fulltech Fiber (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.41
| 1815 Stock | TWD 28.20 1.05 3.59% |
Fulltech |
Fulltech Fiber Target Price Odds to finish below 12.41
The tendency of Fulltech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 12.41 or more in 90 days |
| 28.20 | 90 days | 12.41 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fulltech Fiber to drop to NT$ 12.41 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Fulltech Fiber Glass probability density function shows the probability of Fulltech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fulltech Fiber Glass price to stay between NT$ 12.41 and its current price of NT$28.2 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 96.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fulltech Fiber has a beta of 0.25. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Fulltech Fiber average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fulltech Fiber Glass will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fulltech Fiber Glass has an alpha of 0.3916, implying that it can generate a 0.39 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Fulltech Fiber Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fulltech Fiber
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fulltech Fiber Glass. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fulltech Fiber Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fulltech Fiber is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fulltech Fiber's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fulltech Fiber Glass, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fulltech Fiber within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.39 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Fulltech Fiber Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fulltech Fiber for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fulltech Fiber Glass can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fulltech Fiber Glass had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 22.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Fulltech Fiber Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fulltech Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fulltech Fiber's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fulltech Fiber's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 418.5 M |
Fulltech Fiber Technical Analysis
Fulltech Fiber's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fulltech Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fulltech Fiber Glass. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fulltech Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fulltech Fiber Predictive Forecast Models
Fulltech Fiber's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fulltech Fiber's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fulltech Fiber's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Fulltech Fiber Glass
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fulltech Fiber for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fulltech Fiber Glass help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Fulltech Fiber Glass had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 22.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Fulltech Stock Analysis
When running Fulltech Fiber's price analysis, check to measure Fulltech Fiber's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fulltech Fiber is operating at the current time. Most of Fulltech Fiber's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fulltech Fiber's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fulltech Fiber's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fulltech Fiber to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.