GenoFocus (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4184.81

187420 Stock   4,130  65.00  1.60%   
GenoFocus' future price is the expected price of GenoFocus instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of GenoFocus performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out GenoFocus Backtesting, GenoFocus Valuation, GenoFocus Correlation, GenoFocus Hype Analysis, GenoFocus Volatility, GenoFocus History as well as GenoFocus Performance.
  
Please specify GenoFocus' target price for which you would like GenoFocus odds to be computed.

GenoFocus Target Price Odds to finish below 4184.81

The tendency of GenoFocus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  4,185  after 90 days
 4,130 90 days 4,185 
about 85.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GenoFocus to stay under  4,185  after 90 days from now is about 85.75 (This GenoFocus probability density function shows the probability of GenoFocus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GenoFocus price to stay between its current price of  4,130  and  4,185  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.53 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon GenoFocus has a beta of -2.26. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding GenoFocus are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, GenoFocus is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally GenoFocus has an alpha of 0.8488, implying that it can generate a 0.85 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   GenoFocus Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GenoFocus

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GenoFocus. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,1884,1954,202
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,4823,4894,614
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4,5044,5114,518
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3,2824,0454,808
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GenoFocus. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GenoFocus' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GenoFocus' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in GenoFocus.

GenoFocus Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GenoFocus is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GenoFocus' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GenoFocus, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GenoFocus within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.85
β
Beta against Dow Jones-2.26
σ
Overall volatility
513.95
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

GenoFocus Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GenoFocus for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GenoFocus can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GenoFocus had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 25.87 B. Net Loss for the year was (8.53 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.06 B.
GenoFocus has accumulated about 25.11 B in cash with (2.39 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 34.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

GenoFocus Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GenoFocus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GenoFocus' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GenoFocus' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding22.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments25.6 B

GenoFocus Technical Analysis

GenoFocus' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GenoFocus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GenoFocus. In general, you should focus on analyzing GenoFocus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

GenoFocus Predictive Forecast Models

GenoFocus' time-series forecasting models is one of many GenoFocus' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GenoFocus' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about GenoFocus

Checking the ongoing alerts about GenoFocus for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GenoFocus help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GenoFocus had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 25.87 B. Net Loss for the year was (8.53 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.06 B.
GenoFocus has accumulated about 25.11 B in cash with (2.39 B) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 34.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in GenoFocus Stock

GenoFocus financial ratios help investors to determine whether GenoFocus Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GenoFocus with respect to the benefits of owning GenoFocus security.