MIE HOLDINGS (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.5E-4
| 19MA Stock | EUR 0.0005 0.00 0.00% |
MIE |
MIE HOLDINGS Target Price Odds to finish over 4.5E-4
The tendency of MIE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 0.0004 in 90 days |
| 0.0005 | 90 days | 0.0004 | about 72.85 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MIE HOLDINGS to stay above € 0.0004 in 90 days from now is about 72.85 (This MIE HOLDINGS probability density function shows the probability of MIE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MIE HOLDINGS price to stay between € 0.0004 and its current price of €5.0E-4 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.45 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MIE HOLDINGS has a beta of -5.21. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding MIE HOLDINGS are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, MIE HOLDINGS is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that MIE HOLDINGS has an alpha of 8.4773, implying that it can generate a 8.48 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). MIE HOLDINGS Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MIE HOLDINGS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MIE HOLDINGS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MIE HOLDINGS Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MIE HOLDINGS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MIE HOLDINGS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MIE HOLDINGS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MIE HOLDINGS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 8.48 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -5.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.0007 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
MIE HOLDINGS Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MIE HOLDINGS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MIE HOLDINGS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MIE HOLDINGS is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| MIE HOLDINGS has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| MIE HOLDINGS appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
MIE HOLDINGS Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MIE Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MIE HOLDINGS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MIE HOLDINGS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.3 B | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 3.6 B |
MIE HOLDINGS Technical Analysis
MIE HOLDINGS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MIE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MIE HOLDINGS. In general, you should focus on analyzing MIE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MIE HOLDINGS Predictive Forecast Models
MIE HOLDINGS's time-series forecasting models is one of many MIE HOLDINGS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MIE HOLDINGS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MIE HOLDINGS
Checking the ongoing alerts about MIE HOLDINGS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MIE HOLDINGS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MIE HOLDINGS is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| MIE HOLDINGS has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| MIE HOLDINGS appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Other Information on Investing in MIE Stock
MIE HOLDINGS financial ratios help investors to determine whether MIE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MIE with respect to the benefits of owning MIE HOLDINGS security.