WFD Unibail (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 74.82

1BR1 Stock  EUR 76.98  2.08  2.78%   
WFD Unibail's future price is the expected price of WFD Unibail instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of WFD Unibail Rodamco performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out WFD Unibail Backtesting, WFD Unibail Valuation, WFD Unibail Correlation, WFD Unibail Hype Analysis, WFD Unibail Volatility, WFD Unibail History as well as WFD Unibail Performance.
  
Please specify WFD Unibail's target price for which you would like WFD Unibail odds to be computed.

WFD Unibail Target Price Odds to finish below 74.82

The tendency of WFD Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 74.82  or more in 90 days
 76.98 90 days 74.82 
about 36.62
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of WFD Unibail to drop to € 74.82  or more in 90 days from now is about 36.62 (This WFD Unibail Rodamco probability density function shows the probability of WFD Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of WFD Unibail Rodamco price to stay between € 74.82  and its current price of €76.98 at the end of the 90-day period is about 39.47 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon WFD Unibail has a beta of 0.15. This suggests as returns on the market go up, WFD Unibail average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding WFD Unibail Rodamco will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally WFD Unibail Rodamco has an alpha of 0.0965, implying that it can generate a 0.0965 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   WFD Unibail Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for WFD Unibail

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WFD Unibail Rodamco. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
75.5976.9878.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
74.9676.3577.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
77.6179.0080.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
74.3376.2978.25
Details

WFD Unibail Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. WFD Unibail is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the WFD Unibail's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold WFD Unibail Rodamco, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of WFD Unibail within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.15
σ
Overall volatility
2.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.0043

WFD Unibail Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of WFD Unibail for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for WFD Unibail Rodamco can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
WFD Unibail Rodamco has accumulated 24.77 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.32, which is about average as compared to similar companies. WFD Unibail Rodamco has a current ratio of 0.92, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist WFD Unibail until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, WFD Unibail's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like WFD Unibail Rodamco sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for WFD to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about WFD Unibail's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 2.52 B. Net Loss for the year was (972.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.83 B.
About 27.0% of WFD Unibail shares are owned by insiders or employees

WFD Unibail Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of WFD Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential WFD Unibail's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. WFD Unibail's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding138.6 M

WFD Unibail Technical Analysis

WFD Unibail's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. WFD Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of WFD Unibail Rodamco. In general, you should focus on analyzing WFD Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

WFD Unibail Predictive Forecast Models

WFD Unibail's time-series forecasting models is one of many WFD Unibail's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary WFD Unibail's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about WFD Unibail Rodamco

Checking the ongoing alerts about WFD Unibail for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for WFD Unibail Rodamco help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
WFD Unibail Rodamco has accumulated 24.77 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.32, which is about average as compared to similar companies. WFD Unibail Rodamco has a current ratio of 0.92, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist WFD Unibail until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, WFD Unibail's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like WFD Unibail Rodamco sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for WFD to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about WFD Unibail's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 2.52 B. Net Loss for the year was (972.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.83 B.
About 27.0% of WFD Unibail shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in WFD Stock

WFD Unibail financial ratios help investors to determine whether WFD Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in WFD with respect to the benefits of owning WFD Unibail security.